Mathematics

Mathematics

Problem

An economist tracks the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a dimensionless indicator of average consumer prices. On January 1 of a particular year, the CPI is 180. Two years later, the CPI has increased to 198. The economist writes in a report: “The instantaneous rate of change of the CPI is proportional to the current CPI value.” Let P(t)P(t) denote the CPI tt years after January 1 of the initial year. a. Translate the economist’s statement into an appropriate differential equation for P(t)P(t). b. Determine the proportionality constant kk by using the CPI data provided for t=0t=0 and t=2t=2. Express kk as a decimal rounded to four significant figures. c. Using your model, compute the annual percentage rate of inflation implied by the value of kk. Clearly explain how this rate is obtained. d. Predict the CPI five years after the initial date. Then interpret what this value indicates about overall price changes during the five-year period.
Intuitive explanation

The economist is describing exponential growth, where the rate of change depends on the current amount—a hallmark of differential equations. You'll set up dPdt=kP\frac{dP}{dt} = kP using the proportionality statement, then use your two data points (P(0)=180P(0) = 180 and P(2)=198P(2) = 198) to find the growth constant kk and the general solution P(t)=P0ektP(t) = P_0 e^{kt}. This is the key to unlocking real-world phenomena that compound or accelerate on their own.

Intuitive explanation

The economist is describing exponential growth, where the rate of change depends on the current amount—a hallmark of differential equations. You'll set up dPdt=kP\frac{dP}{dt} = kP using the proportionality statement, then use your two data points (P(0)=180P(0) = 180 and P(2)=198P(2) = 198) to find the growth constant kk and the general solution P(t)=P0ektP(t) = P_0 e^{kt}. This is the key to unlocking real-world phenomena that compound or accelerate on their own.

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