Mathematics

Mathematics

Problem

Three independent lamps AA, BB and CC light up with probabilities 0.90.9, 0.80.8 and 0.950.95 respectively. The room is illuminated if at least two lamps light up. Calculate the probability that the room is illuminated.
Intuitive explanation

The room needs at least two lamps working, so you're looking for the probability of "exactly two lamps OR all three lamps." Since the lamps are independent, calculate each scenario separately: find P(exactly 2 work)P(\text{exactly 2 work}) by considering which pair succeeds and which fails, then add P(all 3 work)P(\text{all 3 work}). The key is recognizing that these cases don't overlap, so you can simply add their probabilities.

Intuitive explanation

The room needs at least two lamps working, so you're looking for the probability of "exactly two lamps OR all three lamps." Since the lamps are independent, calculate each scenario separately: find P(exactly 2 work)P(\text{exactly 2 work}) by considering which pair succeeds and which fails, then add P(all 3 work)P(\text{all 3 work}). The key is recognizing that these cases don't overlap, so you can simply add their probabilities.

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