Introduction to Probability · Problem 4.1.22

Conditional Probability — Grinstead & Snell

Mathematics — Probability · bayes-formula-two-headed-coin

Problem

One coin in a collection of 65 has two heads. The rest are fair. If a coin, chosen at random from the lot and then tossed, turns up heads 6 times in a row, what is the probability that it is the two-headed coin?

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