Mathematical Methods in the Physical Sciences · Problem 16.1.9
FUNCTIONS OF A COMPLEX VARIABLE — Mary Boas
Mathematics — Methods · probability-boxes
Problem
You are trying to find instrument A in a laboratory. Unfortunately, someone has put both instruments A and another kind (which we shall call B) away in identical unmarked boxes mixed at random on a shelf. You know that the laboratory has 3 A's and 7 B's. If you take down one box, what is the probability that you get an A? If it is a B and you put it on the table and take down another box, what is the probability that you get an A this time?