Grinstead-Snell-Probability · Problem 18

Expected Value and Variance

Mathematics · variance-discrete-random-variables

Problem

Show that, for the sample mean xˉ\bar{x} and sample variance s2s^2 as defined in Exercise 17, ((a)) E(xˉ)=μE(\bar{x}) = \mu. ((b)) E((xˉ−μ)2)=σ2/nE\left((\bar{x} - \mu)^2\right) = \sigma^2/n. ((c)) E(s2)=n−1nσ2E(s^2) = \frac{n-1}{n}\sigma^2. Hint: For (c) write ∑i=1n(xi−xˉ)2=∑i=1n((xi−μ)−(xˉ−μ))2=∑i=1n(xi−μ)2−n(xˉ−μ)2,\sum_{i=1}^n (x_i - \bar{x})^2 = \sum_{i=1}^n \left((x_i - \mu) - (\bar{x} - \mu)\right)^2 = \sum_{i=1}^n (x_i - \mu)^2 - n(\bar{x} - \mu)^2, and take expectations of both sides, using part (b) when necessary. ((d)) Show that if, in the definition of s2s^2 in Exercise 17, we replace the coefficient 1/n1/n by the coefficient 1/(n−1)1/(n-1), then E(s2)=σ2E(s^2) = \sigma^2. (This shows why many statisticians use the coefficient 1/(n−1)1/(n-1). The number s2s^2 is used to estimate the unknown quantity σ2\sigma^2. If an estimator has an average value which equals the quantity being estimated, then the estimator is said to be unbiased. Thus, the statement E(s2)=σ2E(s^2) = \sigma^2 says that s2s^2 is an unbiased estimator of σ2\sigma^2.)

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