Introduction to Probability · Problem 4.1.19

Conditional Probability — Grinstead & Snell

Mathematics — Probability · bayes-formula-poker

Problem

In a poker hand, John has a very strong hand and bets 5 dollars. The probability that Mary has a better hand is .04.04. If Mary had a better hand she would raise with probability .9.9, but with a poorer hand she would only raise with probability .1.1. If Mary raises, what is the probability that she has a better hand than John does?

Browse the problem library