Introduction to Probability · Problem 11.17

Random Walks — Grinstead & Snell

Mathematics — Probability · markov-chains-mean-first-passage

Problem

An ergodic Markov chain is started in equilibrium (i.e., with initial probability vector w\mathbf{w}). The mean time until the next occurrence of state sis_i is mˉi=∑kwkmki+wiri\bar{m}_i = \sum_k w_k m_{ki} + w_i r_i. Show that mˉi=zii/wi\bar{m}_i = z_{ii}/w_i, by using the facts that wZ=w\mathbf{w}\mathbf{Z} = \mathbf{w} and mki=(zii−zki)/wim_{ki} = (z_{ii} - z_{ki})/w_i.

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